Market Regime is determined by BTC's composite score, evaluated every 8 hours.
BULL = BTC composite score >70.
NEUTRAL = BTC composite score 40–70.
BEAR = BTC composite score <40.
The composite score is a weighted average of 5 metrics:
Momentum/RSI (25%), Volume (15%), Volatility/ATR (15%), Alt Rank (20%), Galaxy Score (25%).
BTC Composite Score ?
BTC's composite score drives the top-level market regime. Score is 0–100, computed as the weighted average of 5 metrics.
The bar below shows the score position across BEAR (red, <40), NEUTRAL (amber, 40–70), and BULL (green, >70) zones.
BTC Composite Metrics ?
5 metrics scored on a continuous 0–100 scale:
Momentum (RSI-14, inverted — oversold is bullish, 25% weight),
Volatility (ATR as % of price, 15% weight),
Volume (current day vs 20-day average ratio, 15% weight),
LunarCrush (Galaxy Score 25% + Alt Rank 20% = 45% combined weight).
Coin Analysis ?
DUD (DrawUp/DrawDown) Ratio: Measures asymmetry between upside and downside price action over 48 hours using 8-hour sampled close prices with exponential weighted smoothing.
DUD > 2.0 = coin shows 2x more upside than downside potential → ENGAGED.
Backtested across 3 models and 31 coins with +54.2% edge over baseline at the 2.0 threshold.
State Machine: Coins enter ENGAGED on a single DUD > 2.0 observation. Exit requires 2 consecutive 8h samples below threshold (16h sustained).
Tier 1 Gate: Only coins with composite score >70 are evaluated. Coins are re-evaluated against Tier 1 every 4 days.
Score: Tier 1 composite (0–100). Reason: Shows why a coin was disengaged (TIER1, TIER2, or both).
Click any row to expand detailed charts and metrics.
